Showing posts with label fundamental analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fundamental analysis. Show all posts

Value Investing - Stock Price

Stock Price  


You can’t buy any stock at any price, right? The price you pay is ultimately determines your rate of return. You want to buy cheap to maximize your earnings.

The actual stock prices consist of two parts: 1) intrinsic value and 2) variance from the human emotion and dynamic market environments. So there are two basic methods to determine the price of a stock: 1) Fundamental Analysis and 2) Technical Analysis.

  • Fundamental Analysis determines intrinsic stock prices by projecting future earnings and then applying an acceptable return on    investment to calculate the stock price. This approach is used by most traditional investment analysts.
  • Technical Analysis applies statistical charts and techniques to historical stock prices and volumes to identify the future stock price trend. It does not consider the fundamentals of the stock. The business, or economic environment as the influence of these factors is deemed to be already reflected in the stock price.


http://www.trade4rich.com/Price.html

Silver Bird - Could Fundamental Analysis prevent you from investing into this stock?

Unaudited FY 2011 account of Silver Bird

Revenue
2011  612.746m
2010  593.507m

Earnings
2011  4.934m (Diluted EPS 1.24 sen)Thumbs Down
2010  3.655mThumbs Down

Total Asset 382.970m
Total Equity 213.424m  (Net Asset per Share RM 0.52) (Accumulated Losses 44.139m)

Net Profit Margin 0.8%Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down
Asset Turnover 1.6x
Financial Leverage 1.79xThumbs Down

ROA 1.28%Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down
ROTC 1.51%Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down
ROE 2,29%  Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down

Cash 34.699m
Bank balances 3.704m

Cash & Equivalent 38.403m 
LT Borrowings ( 24.694m)
ST Borrowings (126.772m)
Net Debt  (113.063m)Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down

CA 169.083m
CL 144.088m
Working capital 24.995m
CA/CL = 1.729m

Inventories  15.016m
Trade receivables 87.459m Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down(2010:  51.168m)
Other receivables 28.204m Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down(2010: 18.467m)
Trade payables 10.411m
Other paybales 6.732m

Net CFO (25.582m)Thumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs DownThumbs Down
CFI (6.259m)
CFF 21.125m
Net decrease in cash (10.716m)

Dividend 0Thumbs Down

Valuations
Price 20.5 sen
No. of ordinary shares issued and issuable 396.387m
Market Cap 81.23m

P/E 16,5x
P/BV  0.394x
DY 0%


Stock Performance Chart for Silver Bird Group Bhd


Could fundamental analysis guide you from investing into this stock?


The answer is YES.  The business fundamentals of this company are extremely lousy and there are enough red flags in its accounts to warrant caution or avoidance of this stock.


Please click below to read the post by BENGRAM for a more detailed explanation.
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,39283.msg770490.html#msg770490