Showing posts with label pricing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pricing. Show all posts

Price is not value, pricing is not valuation, and pricing models are not valuation models.

A valuation model is an effective method for estimating economic value.


Another term that is used to refer to economic value is "fundamental value", which derives the quantity of value from so-called fundamental economic metrics generated by a firm at the firm-level, in contrast to pricing metrics generated by a securities market at the security-level. 


Price is not value, pricing is not valuation, and pricing models are not valuation models. 


The conventional academic capital asset pricing model has one factor, the beta coefficient. 

  • Models that include beta are pricing models, not valuation models. 
  • This is not merely a matter of semantics. 
The difference between price and value, referred to as the margin of safety, is the raison d'etre of investment valuation independent of market pricing.


http://www.numeraire.com/value.htm

Two ways to profit from the market swings: Timing or Pricing



Since common stocks, even of investment grade, are subject to recurrent and wide fluctuations in their prices, the intelligent investor should be interested in the possibilities of profiting from these pendulum swings. There are two possible ways by which  he may try to do this:

  • the way of timing and 
  • the way of  pricing.


By timing we mean the endeavor to anticipate the action of the stock market—

  • to buy or hold when the future course is deemed to be upward, 
  • to sell or refrain from buying when the course is downward. 


By pricing we mean the endeavor
  • to buy stocks when they are quoted below their fair value and 
  • to sell them when they rise above such value. 

A less ambitious form of pricing is  the simple effort to make sure that when you buy you do not  pay too much for your stocks. 
  • This may suffice for the defensive investor, whose emphasis is on long-pull holding; but as  such it represents an essential minimum of attention to market levels.


We are convinced that the intelligent investor can derive satisfactory results from pricing of either type. 

We are equally sure that if he places his emphasis on timing, in the sense of forecasting, he will end up as a speculator and with a speculator’s financial results. 

This distinction may seem rather tenuous to the layman, and it is not commonly accepted on Wall Street. As a matter of business practice, or perhaps of thoroughgoing conviction, the stock brokers and the investment services seem wedded to the principle that both investors and speculators in common stocks should devote careful attention to market forecasts.