What is the real cost of 0.5pc Bank Rate?


What is the real cost of 0.5pc Bank Rate?
Three years on, savers are paying a heavy price to subsidise cheap borrowing.

MAN HOLDING A HANDFUL OF BANKNOTES
Lending to small businesses fell by 5.1pc in August, against an overall decline in corporate credit of 3.4pc Photo: Rex Features
Savers have lost more than £5,000 since the Bank of England reduced interest rates to a historic low of 0.5pc three years ago – but borrowers have cashed in.
While few savers will be celebrating the anniversary of this decision next week, mortgage borrowers will be toasting a windfall of almost £40,000, which is what the average householder has saved in interest charges over this period.
The unprecedented cut in interest rates was designed to protect an enfeebled economy from outright collapse, but the effect on families up and down the country has been enormous. Research for The Telegraph shows the extent to which families have gained or lost out. Pensioners are among those who have suffered the most; many depend on the income they receive from savings, so they have seen their standard of living fall – a decline made worse by high levels of inflation. Conversely, it is younger people, who typically have larger mortgages and other debts, that have benefited from lower borrowing costs.
Here we look in detail at how the Bank of England's extreme measures have affected our fortunes.

Savers

The Bank started seriously cutting interest rates in response to the growing credit crisis in December 2007. In the three years before this, the rate paid to savers with instant access accounts averaged 3.15pc, according to Defaqto, the data analyst. But over the past three years the average rate has been just 0.94pc.
As a result a saver with £20,000 in one of these accounts would have seen the interest they receive reduced by 70pc. In pounds and pence this means the interest has fallen from £1,950 to just £570 before tax – so they now get £1,380 less. For a basic-rate taxpayer, this means his income cut from £1,560 to £456, a fall of £1,104.
It's a similar story for cash Isas. The average rate on an instant access Isa in normal times was 4.85pc, Defaqto said, compared with only 1.52pc over the past three years. Assuming that savers had amassed £50,000 from successive years' Isa allowances, their income would have fallen from £7,635 to £2,315 – a fall of £5,320.
However, those who have shopped around and moved their savings regularly could have avoided much of this income loss. Over the past three years the average "best-buy" instant access account has paid 3.06pc, Defaqto found. As a result, anyone who switched from an average account to a best buy when the Bank cut rates to 0.5pc – switching again where necessary – would have seen their income fall by just £108 from £1,950 to £1,892 a year.
The average rate on a best-buy instant access Isa has been 3.12pc since March 2009. So a saver who took £50,000 out of an average product at that point and ensured it was always in a best-buy Isa thereafter would have seen their income fall by £2,805 from £7,635 to £4,830.
If you have left your savings in an account paying next to nothing, it's not too late to take action – in fact, economists don't expect Bank Rate to rise until late next year at the earliest. The best rate on the market for instant access accounts is currently 3.1pc on Santander's eSaver Issue 4, Defaqto said. Better rates are available if you tie up your money – such as 3.55pc for one year (from Aldermore), 3.85pc for two years (Vanquis Bank) and 4.2pc for four years (from BM Savings). Rates on equivalent Isas are often slightly lower.
David Black of Defaqto said: "There's a wide variation in the interest rates available even for the same sort of account – the rates paid by easy access accounts range from as little as 0.01pc up to 3.1pc. This shows how important it is to shop around for the best deal. If you've had an account for a while, the chances are you can get a better deal elsewhere."

Borrowers

Where savers have lost, mortgage borrowers gained. In the three years to December 2007 the average lifetime tracker mortgage charged Bank Rate plus 0.7pc, according to SPF Private Clients, the mortgage broker, so the rate that you actually paid at that time was 6.2pc. But since Bank Rate fell to 0.5pc the interest rate paid has been just 1.2pc.
As a result, monthly repayments on the average £250,000 lifetime tracker mortgage have fallen from £1,292 in the "normal" years to £250 now (on an interest-only basis). Total payments over three years have fallen from £46,512 to £9,000, saving the average borrower £37,512.
Two-year fixed-rate deals were also popular before the credit crisis. Someone who took out one of these loans two years before Bank Rate fell to 0.5pc would typically have paid an interest rate of 5.18pc, SPF said, taking a loan from Nationwide as an example. Monthly repayments at that rate would have been £1,079 (again interest-only).
After the introductory period on these mortgages has expired, the rate typically reverts to the lender's standard variable rate (SVR). A borrower who took out Nationwide's two-year fix in March 2007 might have expected to pay 7.5pc when the two years were up, as that was the SVR at the time. Instead, the SVR after Bank Rate fell to 0.5pc in March 2009 was just 2.5pc. This borrower's monthly payments would have fallen from £1,563 to £521, saving them £37,512 over the past three years.
But many home owners chose instead to maintain their payments when interest rates fell. This has the effect of paying off an extra slice of capital every month, cutting the overall interest bill and allowing the mortgage to be paid off in full sooner.
The average tracker mortgage customer with a £250,000 loan would have saved £1,978 in interest over the past three years if they had maintained payments at the level of December 2007, while their mortgage term would have been cut by almost 10 years.
Many people have both savings and a mortgage, of course. As we have seen, their savings will often have paid very little interest over the past three years. A better use for the money can be to reduce the mortgage balance.
If a home owner with a £250,000 mortgage on a typical lifetime tracker charging 3.56pc had used their savings to make a £20,000 lump payment on their home loan in March 2009, they would have saved £2,886 in interest so far and would be in line to shave two years and nine months off their mortgage term, according to HSBC. The figure for a £50,000 payment is £6,262.
Mark Harris of SPF said: "While interest rates are at record lows, not all borrowers are taking advantage. If you are on your lender's SVR and it's 3pc or more, you might want to consider remortgaging. There are some very cheap fixed rates at less than 4pc for five years, or two-year trackers starting at less than 2pc for those with enough equity in their property."
Peter Dockar, the head of mortgages at HSBC, said: "By paying down their mortgage now, borrowers are able to reduce the impact of higher monthly repayments if interest rates rise. It will also build up equity in their properties, giving them access to better deals if they need to remortgage in future."

'I've bought more shares in Lloyds and RBS'

'I've bought more shares in Lloyds and RBS'
Leading UK fund manager Richard Buxton on why he favours financials.

Richard Buxton, fund manager at Schroders
Richard Buxton, fund manager at Schroders 
This June, Richard Buxton will have been managing the £2.5bn Schroder UK Alpha Plus fund for 10 years.
Launched to combat "sideways" markets, Mr Buxton's fund has met its mandate handsomely. If you had invested three years ago you would have doubled your money. We get his views below.

You said you 'couldn't wait' for 2011 to be over. What is your current market outlook?

If the market is particularly stressed, as it was in the second half of last year, any cyclical or long-term holding tends to go down.
The turnover on our fund is extremely low – we are looking at least a three to five-year view for all our holdings – and as a result we had a bad year. Clearly the moves by the European Central Bank in December have been a bit of a game-changer. We were concerned that a major European bank, or two, could end up in severe difficulties. It is no surprise given how depressed sentiment was at the tail end of last year that the removal of that risk has led to happier markets.
We have not repositioned the fund after a bad 2011, but we did add to the badly performing positions – Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland, for example. This year, the mood music has changed – we have had a better start. We knew there would eventually be stimulus, I just couldn't believe how long it took the ECB to do what they needed to do.

How long will this positivity continue?

We think it will be better this year, but it's still a mixed picture. There is recovery and dividend growth but we're not out of the woods yet; there are still issues to face and much scope for policy error. After the financial crisis we are in an environment where there are shorter economic cycles. We are going to have to live with shorter mini-cycles, but I think that is all part of the post-crisis recovery. It may well last another three to seven years.

Which sectors will thrive in this environment?

Sectors where valuations are weakest, because there is the greatest uncertainty and maximum fear. Ten years ago, big tobacco companies were risky. But they've had a fabulous decade of re-rating, going from pariahs to being well-loved. Today, few people invest in banks because of uncertainty around them, so they are trading at half book value. But on a five to 10-year view, they may actually do very well.

How do you respond to the accusation that all UK equity funds are the same?

Rest assured, my fund looks very different from others. It is a concentrated portfolio that is not built in relation to the index: I don't hold big companies just because they are big.
We set it up almost 10 years ago with the view that the index was going nowhere, so you did not want to invest in index trackers or actively managed closely correlated funds.
There are fewer winners in this environment, but if you can identify them you can do well.

What has changed since you started in the City 26 years ago?

I joined in the middle of a 20-year bull market. Back then, making money was a lot easier. It is harder now. I can see huge value but I can equally see reasons why it will take a while for that value to be realised. You can still find fabulous companies capable of achieving year-on-year growth or value companies that have been poorly managed and new management has gone in. But you have to be patient.

What has been your best investment decision?

I only invest in my own fund, so I don't have separate personal stock holdings. I have been very proud of [technology stock] Autonomy. It was hugely controversial, with many non-believers, but we continued to ride the volatility and were vindicated last year with the £7.1bn takeover by Hewlett Packard.

And your worst?

As a house, Schroders is very balance sheet-focused so we haven't generally suffered because of a stock having too much leverage.
For that reason we are big shareholders in Home Retail, which owns Argos and Homebase, and which has had a dreadful performance. But we know it is a survivor. It is not going the way of HMV and Woolworths. So we're sticking with it.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/9110405/Ive-bought-more-shares-in-Lloyds-and-RBS.html

Hong Leong Bank (At a Glance)



Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
27-Feb-1230-Jun-12231-Dec-111,003,356381,37124.22-
29-Nov-1130-Jun-12130-Sep-11916,730407,11027.98-
26-Aug-1130-Jun-11430-Jun-11820,792296,60020.42-
10-May-1130-Jun-11331-Mar-11577,914289,69619.95-


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
27-Feb-1130-Jun-11231-Dec-10603,964291.43220.07-
29-Nov-1030-Jun-11130-Sep-10539.787257.20017.72-
26-Aug-1030-Jun-10430-Jun-10520,252302,94220.90-
10-May-1030-Jun-10331-Mar-10508.046227.95515.73-


ttm-EPS  92.57 sen
LFY ending 30.6.2011:  Dividend 24 sen  DPO  0.31

Price  RM 11.82
ttm-PE  12.8x  Thumbs Up
DY 2.03%

Net assets per share
31.12.2011   6.05
31.12.2010   5.13

Dividend 1H
1H 2011  11.00 sen  Thumbs Up
1H 2010    9.00 sen

PAT 1H
1H 2011  788.481m  (50.08 sen /share)  Thumbs Up
1H 2010  548.632m  (37.78 sen /share)



Stock Performance Chart for Hong Leong Bank Berhad

Business Description:
Hong Leong Bank Berhad operates in the Bank holding companies sector. Hong Leong Bank Berhad (HLB) is a Malaysia-based company. The Company is engaged in commercial banking business and in the provision of related services. The Company provides services in personal financial services, business banking and trade finance, treasury, branch and transaction banking, wealth management, investment banking, private banking and Islamic financial services. The Company's business segments include Group Consumer Banking, Group Business Banking, Global Markets, Investment Banking, Overseas Associate and Overseas Joint Controlled Entity. Group Consumer Banking focuses on servicing individual customers and small businesses. Group Business Banking focuses mainly on corporate customers. Global Markets refers to the Group's treasury and capital market operations. On 6 May 2011, the Company acquired EON Capital Berhad, and EON Bank Berhad and its subsidiaries, including EONCAP Islamic Bank Bhd and MIMB Investment Bank Bhd and its subsidiaries became part of the Company.



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Past Financial Year Historical data
Financial Year Ended 30/06/2011

Total Assets
30.6.2011  87,650.089m
30.6.2010  77,777.858m

Total Equity
30.6.2011  6,567.126m
30.6.2010  5,903.363m

Revenue
30.6.2011  2,542.457m
30.6.2010  2,085.079m

PAT
30.6.2011  1,134.928m
30.6.2010  1,009.132m


Net assets per share
30.6.2011  5.1300
30.6.2010  4.4900

EPS

30.6.2011  78.12 sen
30.6.2010  69.61 sen




Dividends per share
30.6.2011  24.00 sen
30.6.2012  24.00 sen


FY Ending 30.6.2011

Net Profit Margin  44.6%
Asset Turnover  0.029x
Financial Leverage  13.35x

ROA  1.2934%  Thumbs Up
ROE   17.27%   Thumbs Up
DPO   0.31